Sport Picks
Venlo vs Almere City
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Seacon - De Koel, Venlo 
Match Events
21'
21'
Foor N.
31'
31'
Zandbergen D.
43'
43'
Zandbergen D.
Assist: Heise P.
AI Match Summary
Venlo in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venlo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venlo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than Venlo.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%
Almere City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Venlo | Almere City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Almere City
3:1
Nov 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Venlo
3:0
Jun 3, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Venlo
2:1
May 30, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Almere City
1:1
Mar 13, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Venlo
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Venlo Compare
Top Goalscorer Zandbergen D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Foor N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Almere City Compare
Top Goalscorer de Nijs O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Venlo 30 / 100
Almere City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Venlo Almere City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Almere City conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Venlo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Venlo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Venlo VS Almere City
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Venlo
(Home) 11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1 TOP Oss
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2 Venlo
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0 FC Emmen
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
14 Aug
NAC Breda
0 : 2 Venlo
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1 TOP Oss
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0 FC Emmen
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4 Heracles
01 Aug
Venlo
2 : 3 Eupen
Page 1 of 4
Almere City
(Away) 11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3 Almere City
14 Aug
Almere City
3 : 1 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3 Almere City
08 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 1 Almere City
01 Aug
FC Emmen
4 : 0 Almere City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
