Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venlo vs Cambuur

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Zandbergen D.
6'
Saddiki D.
15' Event
Zandbergen D.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Venlo and Cambuur finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Venlo
30%
Draws
34%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cambuur come out ahead of Venlo on wins alone.
  • Venlo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cambuur have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Venlo Clean Sheet 17%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo Cambuur
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Cambuur
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Venlo
3:1
Feb 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Venlo
5:0
Oct 4, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Cambuur
0:1
Aug 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Venlo vs Cambuur
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zandbergen D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cambuur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 36 / 100
Cambuur 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venlo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Cambuur let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Venlo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS Cambuur
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
25 Jul
Venlo
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln
21 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
5 : 3
Venlo
18 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1
Leuven B
11 Jul
De Treffers
2 : 2
Venlo
07 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1
Bochum II
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Cambuur

(Away)
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0
Utrecht
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)