Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venlo vs Fortuna Koln

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Venlo host Fortuna Koln in the Club Friendly. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Venlo at 1.88 goals for, 1.63 against; Fortuna Koln at 2.13 for, 1.63 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.75 - 1.88) back Fortuna Koln to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Venlo
40%
Draws
29%
Fortuna Koln
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Venlo haven't matched Fortuna Koln's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo Fortuna Koln
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 30 / 100
Fortuna Koln 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo Fortuna Koln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venlo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Venlo scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Fortuna Koln let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Fortuna Koln's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS Fortuna Koln
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
18 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1
Leuven B
11 Jul
De Treffers
2 : 2
Venlo
07 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1
Bochum II
04 Jul
Venlo
3 : 2
B. Monchengladbach II
24 Apr
Venlo
3 : 1
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

Fortuna Koln

(Away)
18 Jul
Fortuna Koln
1 : 0
B. Monchengladbach II
15 Jul
Eintracht Trier
1 : 3
Fortuna Koln
11 Jul
TSV Steinbach Haiger
3 : 2
Fortuna Koln
04 Jul
Fortuna Koln
4 : 1
TuS Koblenz
16 May
Lotte
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
Page 1 of 6