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Venlo vs Fortuna Koln

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Aigbekaen R.
69'
Joosten T.
69'
Joosten T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Venlo and Fortuna Koln finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Koln.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Venlo
30%
Draws
23%
Fortuna Koln
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Venlo haven't matched Fortuna Koln's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Venlo taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Venlo Clean Sheet 13%
Fortuna Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo Fortuna Koln
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.76 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Venlo vs Fortuna Koln
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venlo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fortuna Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Aigbekaen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 84 / 100
Fortuna Koln 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo Fortuna Koln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Venlo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Fortuna Koln has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Venlo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS Fortuna Koln
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2
Venlo
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0
FC Emmen
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
14 Aug
NAC Breda
0 : 2
Venlo
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Fortuna Koln

(Away)
16 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 2
Wehen
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 0
Dusseldorf
29 Aug
Verl
1 : 2
Fortuna Koln
15 Aug
Fortuna Koln
1 : 1
Alemannia Aachen
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