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Venlo vs Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Abbas C.
21'
Sub
Reine-Adelaide J. In: van der Kust D.
Out: Reine-Adelaide J.
38' Event
van Gilst T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Venlo and Heracles finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Venlo
15%
Draws
64%
Heracles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Heracles haven't matched Venlo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Heracles's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Venlo Clean Sheet 16%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo Heracles
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Heracles
3:4
Feb 10, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Heracles
3:1
Sep 9, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Venlo
5:3
May 1, 2021 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Venlo
4:0
Nov 7, 2020 Eredivisie
Venlo vs Heracles
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zandbergen D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hendrix D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer N'djoli J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vicente D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 23 / 100
Heracles 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Heracles conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Venlo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Venlo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS Heracles
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4
Heracles
01 Aug
Venlo
2 : 3
Eupen
25 Jul
Venlo
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln
21 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
5 : 3
Venlo
18 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1
Leuven B
Page 1 of 6

Heracles

(Away)
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4
Heracles
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2
Groningen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Dordrecht 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Maastricht 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 NAC Breda 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 De Graafschap 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Helmond Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Almere City 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Waalwijk 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Eindhoven FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 FC Volendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Jong PSV 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Jong AZ Alkmaar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Venlo 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
17 TOP Oss 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Jong Ajax 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Jong Utrecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
20 Roda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)