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Venlo vs Heracles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Abbas C.
21'
Sub
Reine-Adelaide J. In: van der Kust D.
Out: Reine-Adelaide J.
38' Event
van Gilst T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Venlo and Heracles finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Venlo
15%
Draws
45%
Heracles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Heracles haven't matched Venlo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo Heracles
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Heracles
3:4
Feb 10, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Heracles
3:1
Sep 9, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Venlo
5:3
May 1, 2021 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Venlo
4:0
Nov 7, 2020 Eredivisie
Venlo vs Heracles
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zandbergen D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hendrix D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer N'djoli J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vicente D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 30 / 100
Heracles 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Heracles conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Venlo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Venlo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS Heracles
2.63 Goals Scored 3.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0
Roda
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2
Venlo
Page 1 of 6

Heracles

(Away)
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)