Sport Picks

Netherlands

KNVB Beker Seacon - De Koel, Venlo

Vitesse

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the KNVB Beker. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Vitesse have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Venlo have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Venlo have won 1 to Vitesse's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.94) back Vitesse to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Venlo

15%

Draws

36%

Vitesse

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Venlo haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Venlo's way, sitting at 40%.
Vitesse arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Vitesse, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Venlo Clean Sheet 10%

Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Venlo	Vitesse
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	11	13
Draws	7	8
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.83	1.68
Goals Conceded	1.69	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs Venlo

2:2

Oct 31, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Venlo vs Vitesse

1:2

Jan 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs Venlo

1:4

Aug 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie

Venlo vs Vitesse

0:1

Jul 22, 2022 Club Friendly

Vitesse vs Venlo

2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 38 / 100

Vitesse 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Venlo Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venlo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Venlo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Vitesse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Venlo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS Vitesse

2.25 Goals Scored 1.63

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)

18 Sept

Jong Utrecht

1 : 3

Venlo

11 Sept

Venlo

3 : 1

TOP Oss

04 Sept

Helmond Sport

4 : 2

Venlo

30 Aug

Venlo

4 : 0

FC Emmen

23 Aug

Venlo

2 : 1

De Graafschap

Page 1 of 6

Vitesse

(Away)

19 Sept

Vitesse

3 : 1

Jong PSV

12 Sept

Roda

1 : 0

Vitesse

04 Sept

Vitesse

2 : 1

TOP Oss

28 Aug

Den Bosch

1 : 4

Vitesse

21 Aug

Vitesse

0 : 3

Almere City

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

ACV Assen 6

Westlandia 1

VV Hoogeveen 3

SVZW Wierden 2

Groene Ster 2

VV Heerjansdam 1

Be Quick 1887 0

AFC 2

Hardenberg -

TBD -

Barendrecht -

TBD -

Harkemase Boys 0

Excelsior 31 1

Alkmaarse FC 1934 4

VV Scherpenzeel 1

TBD -

Sportlust 3

Blauw Geel 1

ADO 20 Heemskerk 1

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

GVVV -

TBD -

ATC 65 1

DVS '33 Ermelo 2

GOES 0

VV Noordwijk 1

HZVV Hoogeveen 0

Frisia 4

TBD -

Sparta Nijkerk 2

Venray 0

Rkvv Spartaan 20 0

RKSV UDI 19 5

Dongen 2

Watergraafsmeer 4

TEC 4

Almkerk 2

TBD -

NAC Breda -

Longa '30 0

Koninklijke HFC 4

Surhusterfean 1

VV DOVO 2

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Mierlo-Hout 2

Germania Groesbeek 3

TBD -

Kozakken Boys -

TBD -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Elinkwijk 0

Eemdijk 3

GSV 28 0

Roosendaal 4

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

Spakenburg -

TOGB 3

Katwijk 2

TBD -

Rohda Raalte -

Roda -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Staphorst 3

UNA 2

Genemuiden 2

Lisse 1

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Sittard -

Telstar -

TBD -

Almere City -

Lierop 0

VV Zwaluwen 7

Purmersteijn 4

RKVV Zwaluw 3

IJsselmeervogels -

TBD -

FC 's-Gravenzande 0

Gemert 2

NSVV 2

VV Kloetinge 4

Achilles Veen 4

SV Poortugaal 2

TBD -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Rijnvogels 5

VV Bennekom 0

VVSB 2

Ajax (Am) 0

USV Hercules 1

EVV 3

HVV Hollandia 2

RKSV Halsteren 3

TBD -

1/64-finals

ACV Assen 2

VV Hoogeveen 1

Groene Ster 1

AFC 6

Hardenberg 0

Barendrecht 1

TBD -

Excelsior 31 4

Alkmaarse FC 1934 3

TBD -

Sportlust 0

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

GVVV 4

DVS '33 Ermelo 0

VV Noordwijk 1

Frisia 0

TBD -

Sparta Nijkerk 3

RKSV UDI 19 1

Watergraafsmeer 5

TEC 4

TBD -

NAC Breda -

Koninklijke HFC 3

VV DOVO 1

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Germania Groesbeek 1

Kozakken Boys 5

TBD -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Eemdijk 2

Roosendaal 1

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam 3

Spakenburg 2

TOGB 4

Rohda Raalte 6

Roda -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Staphorst 2

Genemuiden 3

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Sittard -

Telstar -

TBD -

Almere City -

VV Zwaluwen 0

Purmersteijn 1

IJsselmeervogels 0

Gemert 3

VV Kloetinge 8

Achilles Veen 0

TBD -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Rijnvogels 0

VVSB 1

EVV 3

RKSV Halsteren 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

ACV Assen -

AFC -

Barendrecht -

Waalwijk -

De Treffers -

Heracles -

Excelsior 31 -

Den Haag -

Excelsior Maassluis -

Heerenveen -

Eindhoven FC -

FC Volendam -

Groningen -

FC Emmen -

GVVV -

VV Noordwijk -

Helmond Sport -

Willem II -

HSV Hoek -

Sparta Nijkerk -

Watergraafsmeer -

NAC Breda -

Koninklijke HFC -

G.A. Eagles -

Kozakken Boys -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

Eemdijk -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam -

Rohda Raalte -

Roda -

De Graafschap -

Genemuiden -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

Sittard -

Telstar -

Almere City -

Purmersteijn -

Gemert -

VV Kloetinge -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

Vitesse -

VVSB -

EVV -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Venlo vs Vitesse

Netherlands

Venlo

Vitesse

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

Vitesse

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA