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Ventspils 2 vs FK Auda Riga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga 2012
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AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2012 game between Ventspils 2 and FK Auda Riga finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ventspils 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ventspils 2
20%
Draws
38%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ventspils 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ventspils 2's 2.27 goals per match outpaces what FK Auda Riga have produced (1.58).
  • Win probability leans Ventspils 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ventspils 2 Clean Sheet 19%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventspils 2 FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.27 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2013 1. Liga
Ventspils 2 vs FK Auda Riga
3:0
Oct 3, 2013 1. Liga
FK Auda Riga vs Ventspils 2
1:2
Nov 11, 2012 1. Liga
Ventspils 2 vs FK Auda Riga
3:1
Oct 4, 2012 1. Liga
FK Auda Riga vs Ventspils 2
0:0
Sep 4, 2011 1. Liga
Ventspils 2 vs FK Auda Riga
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventspils 2 85 / 100
FK Auda Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventspils 2 FK Auda Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventspils 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ventspils 2 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ventspils 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FK Auda Riga let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Auda Riga
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ventspils 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Ventspils 2
1 : 0
Rezekne
03 Nov
SFK United
1 : 8
Ventspils 2
26 Oct
Ventspils 2
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga
18 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0
Ventspils 2
03 Oct
FK Auda Riga
1 : 2
Ventspils 2
Page 1 of 6

FK Auda Riga

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 25 21 4 0 92:20 67
2 FK Ilukste 26 18 3 5 87:38 57
3 Skonto 2 26 17 5 4 56:32 56
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 15 7 4 49:20 52
5 RFS 26 16 3 7 62:33 51
6 Ventspils 2 26 15 3 8 57:37 48
7 FK 1625 Liepaja 26 11 7 8 47:45 40
8 Valmiera 26 8 3 15 39:53 27
9 Spartaks Jurmala 2 26 7 5 14 48:71 26
10 Rezekne 25 8 1 16 49:57 25
11 FK Metta 2 26 7 3 16 33:52 24
12 FK Auda Riga 26 6 3 17 36:51 21
13 Tukums 2000 26 4 1 21 28:116 13
14 Jelgava 2 26 3 2 21 29:87 11
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Relegation)