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Ventspils 2 vs FK Ilukste

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1. Liga 2012
Ventspils 2 Logo

Ventspils 2

4 - 0
FT
FK Ilukste Logo

FK Ilukste

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ventspils 2 in this 1. Liga 2012 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ventspils 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ventspils 2
15%
Draws
0%
FK Ilukste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventspils 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ventspils 2 have won more games recently than FK Ilukste.
  • Ventspils 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ventspils 2 Clean Sheet 20%
FK Ilukste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventspils 2 FK Ilukste
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 20 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 2.28 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2012 1. Liga
Ventspils 2 vs FK Ilukste
4:0
Jun 8, 2012 1. Liga
FK Ilukste vs Ventspils 2
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventspils 2 85 / 100
FK Ilukste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventspils 2 FK Ilukste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventspils 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ventspils 2 scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

FK Ilukste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FK Ilukste registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ventspils 2 VS FK Ilukste
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ventspils 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Ventspils 2
1 : 0
Rezekne
03 Nov
SFK United
1 : 8
Ventspils 2
26 Oct
Ventspils 2
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga
18 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0
Ventspils 2
03 Oct
FK Auda Riga
1 : 2
Ventspils 2
Page 1 of 7

FK Ilukste

(Away)
09 Nov
FK Ilukste
2 : 10
FK Liepaja
02 Nov
FC Daugava Daugavpils
6 : 1
FK Ilukste
27 Oct
FK Ilukste
0 : 5
Ventspils
21 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
7 : 1
FK Ilukste
14 Oct
FK Ilukste
1 : 7
Ventspils
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 25 21 4 0 92:20 67
2 FK Ilukste 26 18 3 5 87:38 57
3 Skonto 2 26 17 5 4 56:32 56
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 15 7 4 49:20 52
5 RFS 26 16 3 7 62:33 51
6 Ventspils 2 26 15 3 8 57:37 48
7 FK 1625 Liepaja 26 11 7 8 47:45 40
8 Valmiera 26 8 3 15 39:53 27
9 Spartaks Jurmala 2 26 7 5 14 48:71 26
10 Rezekne 25 8 1 16 49:57 25
11 FK Metta 2 26 7 3 16 33:52 24
12 FK Auda Riga 26 6 3 17 36:51 21
13 Tukums 2000 26 4 1 21 28:116 13
14 Jelgava 2 26 3 2 21 29:87 11
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Relegation)