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Ventspils 2 vs Valmiera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2012 game between Ventspils 2 and Valmiera finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ventspils 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ventspils 2
15%
Draws
39%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventspils 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valmiera come out ahead of Ventspils 2 on wins alone.
  • Ventspils 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ventspils 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ventspils 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventspils 2 Valmiera
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.27 2.55
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2013 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Ventspils 2
1:0
Jun 8, 2013 1. Liga
Ventspils 2 vs Valmiera
3:0
Oct 13, 2012 1. Liga
Ventspils 2 vs Valmiera
5:0
Aug 1, 2012 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Ventspils 2
2:3
Nov 6, 2011 1. Liga
Ventspils 2 vs Valmiera
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventspils 2 75 / 100
Valmiera 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventspils 2 Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventspils 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ventspils 2 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Valmiera let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Ventspils 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valmiera
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ventspils 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Ventspils 2
1 : 0
Rezekne
03 Nov
SFK United
1 : 8
Ventspils 2
26 Oct
Ventspils 2
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga
18 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0
Ventspils 2
03 Oct
FK Auda Riga
1 : 2
Ventspils 2
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera

(Away)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 25 21 4 0 92:20 67
2 FK Ilukste 26 18 3 5 87:38 57
3 Skonto 2 26 17 5 4 56:32 56
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 15 7 4 49:20 52
5 RFS 26 16 3 7 62:33 51
6 Ventspils 2 26 15 3 8 57:37 48
7 FK 1625 Liepaja 26 11 7 8 47:45 40
8 Valmiera 26 8 3 15 39:53 27
9 Spartaks Jurmala 2 26 7 5 14 48:71 26
10 Rezekne 25 8 1 16 49:57 25
11 FK Metta 2 26 7 3 16 33:52 24
12 FK Auda Riga 26 6 3 17 36:51 21
13 Tukums 2000 26 4 1 21 28:116 13
14 Jelgava 2 26 3 2 21 29:87 11
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Relegation)