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Ventspils vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Ventspils Olimpiskais stadions, Ventspils
Ventspils Logo

Ventspils

Tue, Jun 29, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
RFS Logo

RFS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ventspils host RFS in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. This has RFS written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Ventspils at 1.08 goals for, 1.58 against; RFS at 2.49 for, 0.68 against. Head-to-head, Ventspils have won 1 to RFS's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.61) back RFS to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ventspils
35%
Draws
40%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Ventspils on wins alone.
  • Ventspils are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 14%
RFS Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventspils RFS
Matches Played 12 37
Wins 2 29
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.08 2.49
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2021 Virsliga
RFS vs Ventspils
0:0
Jun 29, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs RFS
0:0
May 10, 2021 Virsliga
RFS vs Ventspils
1:0
Mar 20, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs RFS
1:1
Oct 28, 2020 Latvian Cup
Ventspils vs RFS
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventspils 41 / 100
RFS 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventspils RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ventspils remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ventspils's goal record stands at 42% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 43% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS RFS
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ventspils

(Home)
29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2
Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0
Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 3

RFS

(Away)
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
23 Aug
RFS
3 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)