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Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Ventspils Olimpiskais stadions

Spartaks Jurmala

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ventspils host Spartaks Jurmala in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ventspils have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Spartaks Jurmala's 1.13 scored and 2.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Ventspils have won 1 to Spartaks Jurmala's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.79 - 1.11) back Spartaks Jurmala to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Ventspils

30%

Draws

34%

Spartaks Jurmala

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ventspils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Spartaks Jurmala carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Ventspils a 36% chance of winning this.
Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Ventspils Clean Sheet 20%

Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ventspils	Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played	12	34
Wins	2	12
Draws	2	4
Losses	8	18
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2021 Virsliga

Ventspils vs Spartaks Jurmala

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Aug 18, 2021 Virsliga

Spartaks Jurmala vs Ventspils

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Jul 31, 2021 Virsliga

Spartaks Jurmala vs Ventspils

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

May 29, 2021 Virsliga

Ventspils vs Spartaks Jurmala

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Oct 17, 2020 Virsliga

Spartaks Jurmala vs Ventspils

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventspils 36 / 100

Spartaks Jurmala 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ventspils Spartaks Jurmala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spartaks Jurmala conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Ventspils has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ventspils scored in 42% of their last 12 games.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartaks Jurmala

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 2.38

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RFS	28	20	6	2	65:22	66
2	Valmiera	28	19	5	4	54:19	62
3	FK Liepaja	28	16	3	9	47:26	51
4	Riga FC	28	14	8	6	54:26	50
5	Spartaks Jurmala	28	11	2	15	40:41	35
6	BFC Daugavpils	28	9	5	14	37:53	32
7	FK Metta	28	5	5	18	33:55	20
8	Noah Jurmala	28	1	0	27	8:96	3
9	Ventspils	0	0	0	0	0:0	0