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Ventura vs Tucson

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Iniguez A.
68' Event
Torres A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Ventura advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Ventura
15%
Draws
40%
Tucson
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Ventura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ventura a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Ventura have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ventura, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ventura Clean Sheet 16%
Tucson Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventura Tucson
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 22 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 3.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 USL League Two
Ventura vs Tucson
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 USL League Two
Tucson vs Ventura
2:2
Jul 21, 2025 USL League Two
Ventura vs Tucson
2:0
Jul 4, 2025 USL League Two
Tucson vs Ventura
2:1
Jul 22, 2024 USL League Two
Tucson vs Ventura
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ventura Compare

Top Goalscorer Iniguez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Tucson Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventura 39 / 100
Tucson 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventura Tucson

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ventura scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Tucson has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ventura stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ventura VS Tucson
3.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ventura

(Home)
26 Jul
Flint City
1 : 0
Ventura
24 Jul
Ballard
1 : 2
Ventura
19 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 6
Ventura
17 Jul
Ventura
1 : 0
Project 51O
12 Jul
Redlands United FC
1 : 1
Ventura
Page 1 of 7

Tucson

(Away)
18 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 0
Tucson
11 Jul
Tucson
2 : 1
Capo
07 Jul
Stars FC
0 : 1
Tucson
04 Jul
Tucson
4 : 1
Stars FC
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 1
Tucson
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vermont Green 4
Hudson Valley 1
Motown 2 2
Western Pioneers 1
Lionsbridge 4
Salem City 0
Northern Virginia 2
West Chester United 0
Dothan United 1
Little Rock Rangers 0
Asheville City 2
Louisiana Krewe 3
Sarasota Paradise 2
Sporting Jax 0
Laredo Heat 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 6
Colorado Storm 0
Utah United 0
Snohomish United 2
Ventura 2
San Juan 1
Almaden 1
Tucson 2
Flint City 4
Steel City 3
Fort Wayne 3
Midwest United 2
Minneapolis City 3
Peoria IL 2
Menace 2
Sueno 4
1/8-finals
Vermont Green 3
Motown 2 2
Lionsbridge 2
Northern Virginia 1
Dothan United 2
Louisiana Krewe 0
Sarasota Paradise 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 2
Snohomish United 1
Ventura 2
Tucson 0
Flint City 2
Fort Wayne 0
Minneapolis City 2
Sueno 0
Quarter-finals
Vermont Green 3
Lionsbridge 1
Dothan United 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Ballard 2
Ventura 1
Flint City 2
Minneapolis City 1
Semi-finals
Vermont Green 1
Dothan United 0
Ballard 2
Flint City 1
Final
Vermont Green 2
Ballard 1