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Venus vs Pinheirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Venus
20%
Draws
38%
Pinheirense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Venus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Venus come out ahead of Pinheirense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Venus's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Venus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Venus, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Venus Clean Sheet 20%
Pinheirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venus Pinheirense
Matches Played 15 26
Wins 6 5
Draws 2 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.27 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Paraense A3
Pinheirense vs Venus
2:0
Sep 27, 2026 Paraense A3
Venus vs Pinheirense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venus 58 / 100
Pinheirense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venus Pinheirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venus scored in 60% of their last 15 games.

Pinheirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Venus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venus VS Pinheirense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Venus

(Home)
03 Oct
Pinheirense
2 : 0
Venus
27 Sept
Venus
2 : 1
Pinheirense
19 Sept
Pedreira
1 : 2
Venus
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
11 Sept
Venus
0 : 1
Pedreira
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Pinheirense

(Away)
03 Oct
Pinheirense
2 : 0
Venus
27 Sept
Venus
2 : 1
Pinheirense
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tesla 5
Pedreira 3
Venus 2
Pinheirense 3
Parauapebas 3
Sport Belem 1
Belenense 1
Gaviao 2
Semi-finals
Tesla -
Pinheirense -
Parauapebas -
Gaviao -
Final
TBD -
TBD -