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Vera CD vs UD Gomera

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 game between Vera CD and UD Gomera finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vera CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vera CD
15%
Draws
28%
UD Gomera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vera CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vera CD come out ahead of UD Gomera on wins alone.
  • Vera CD are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Vera CD Clean Sheet 20%
UD Gomera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vera CD UD Gomera
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 0.81 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Vera CD vs UD Gomera
2:0
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Gomera vs Vera CD
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vera CD 58 / 100
UD Gomera 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vera CD UD Gomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vera CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Gomera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

UD Gomera lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vera CD scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vera CD VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vera CD

(Home)
01 May
Vera CD
0 : 2
Gran Tarajal
23 Apr
Las Palmas C
4 : 0
Vera CD
17 Apr
Vera CD
1 : 0
CD La Cuadra
10 Apr
Lanzarote
0 : 1
Vera CD
06 Apr
CD Marino
2 : 0
Vera CD
Page 1 of 7

UD Gomera

(Away)
18 May
Tenerife B
2 : 0
UD Gomera
12 May
UD Gomera
0 : 2
Atletico Granadilla
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
UD Gomera
2 : 1
Atletico Victoria
21 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0
UD Gomera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 38 26 7 5 90:27 85
2 Atletico Granadilla 38 24 8 6 64:33 80
3 Estrella 38 24 5 9 66:30 77
4 Union Viera 38 22 9 7 82:49 75
5 Mensajero 38 22 8 8 80:37 74
6 Tenerife B 38 17 12 9 63:40 63
7 Vecindario 38 16 12 10 49:38 60
8 Corralejo 38 16 8 14 43:41 56
9 Las Zocas 38 16 8 14 42:56 56
10 Villa Santa Brigida 38 16 6 16 55:59 54
11 Telde 38 15 9 14 47:56 54
12 Ibarra 38 15 7 16 52:45 52
13 SD Tenisca 38 14 9 15 46:62 51
14 Lanzarote 38 13 10 15 59:58 49
15 Atletico Victoria 38 13 6 19 41:49 45
16 Vera CD 38 12 6 20 43:75 42
17 San Isidro 38 8 9 21 38:57 33
18 San Pedro Martir 38 5 9 24 21:43 24
19 Tijarafe 38 5 3 30 31:92 18
20 UD Gomera 38 3 5 30 30:95 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)