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Vera Cruz vs America PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Renato Henrique
33' Event
Moreira W.
45' Event
Paulo Ricardo

AI Match Summary

America PE in this Pernambucano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored America PE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vera Cruz
6%
Draws
90%
America PE
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America PE lately — more wins on the board than Vera Cruz.
  • America PE are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
America PE Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vera Cruz America PE
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.75 3.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Pernambucano 2
America PE vs Vera Cruz
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs America PE
1:5
Sep 25, 2022 Pernambucano 2
America PE vs Vera Cruz
1:1
Nov 5, 2020 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs America PE
2:1
Nov 1, 2020 Pernambucano 2
America PE vs Vera Cruz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vera Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo Ricardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

America PE Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Renato Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vera Cruz 10 / 100
America PE 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vera Cruz America PE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vera Cruz scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: America PE conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Vera Cruz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vera Cruz VS America PE
0.75 Goals Scored 3.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vera Cruz

(Home)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
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America PE

(Away)
01 Nov
America PE
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
26 Oct
America PE
2 : 1
Caruaru
12 Oct
Ipojuca
2 : 4
America PE
08 Oct
America PE
5 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Vitoria83419:613
2Caruaru83418:713
3CA Porto82516:411
4Aguia FC82156:97
5Ypiranga81433:67
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE871025:522
2Centro Limoeirense84229:1314
3Belo Jardim841312:913
4Ipojuca812511:185
5Vera Cruz80266:182
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)