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Vera Cruz vs Belo Jardim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Cesinha
48' Event
Otavio
67' Event
Mamede J.

AI Match Summary

Belo Jardim in this Pernambucano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belo Jardim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Vera Cruz
20%
Draws
70%
Belo Jardim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Belo Jardim have won more games recently than Vera Cruz.
  • Model gives Belo Jardim a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vera Cruz Belo Jardim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Belo Jardim
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Belo Jardim vs Vera Cruz
2:0
Nov 3, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Belo Jardim
1:0
Aug 28, 2011 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Belo Jardim
1:3
Aug 21, 2011 Pernambucano 2
Belo Jardim vs Vera Cruz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vera Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamede J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Belo Jardim Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otavio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vera Cruz 10 / 100
Belo Jardim 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vera Cruz Belo Jardim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belo Jardim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Belo Jardim let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Vera Cruz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vera Cruz VS Belo Jardim
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vera Cruz

(Home)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
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Belo Jardim

(Away)
19 Oct
Belo Jardim
4 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
20 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 1
Belo Jardim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Vitoria 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
2 Caruaru 8 3 4 1 8:7 13
3 CA Porto 8 2 5 1 6:4 11
4 Aguia FC 8 2 1 5 6:9 7
5 Ypiranga 8 1 4 3 3:6 7
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America PE 8 7 1 0 25:5 22
2 Centro Limoeirense 8 4 2 2 9:13 14
3 Belo Jardim 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
4 Ipojuca 8 1 2 5 11:18 5
5 Vera Cruz 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)