Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vera Cruz vs Jaguar

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2014
Sun, Sep 28, 2014
1 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vera Cruz in this Pernambucano 2 2014 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vera Cruz
6%
Draws
4%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaguar lately — more wins on the board than Vera Cruz.
  • Model gives Vera Cruz a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Jaguar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vera Cruz, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 14%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vera Cruz Jaguar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
0:1
Nov 8, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
3:1
Sep 28, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
1:0
Sep 24, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Vera Cruz
0:0
Jul 30, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Vera Cruz
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vera Cruz 84 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vera Cruz Jaguar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Jaguar has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Jaguar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vera Cruz VS Jaguar
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vera Cruz

(Home)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Jaguar

(Away)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atletico PE 4
Altinho FC 2
Afogados da Ingazeira 0
Belo Jardim 7
Jaguar 5
Timbauba FC 2
Araripina 2
Vera Cruz 2
Semi-finals
Atletico PE 2
Belo Jardim 1
Jaguar 0
Vera Cruz 1
Final
Atletico PE 1
Vera Cruz 2