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Veranopolis vs Passo Fundo

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Vinicius Spaniol
73' Event
Romario
90' Event
Ruan
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Veranopolis advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Veranopolis
20%
Draws
38%
Passo Fundo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Veranopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Veranopolis have managed 1.15 goals a game lately — Passo Fundo are scoring more at 1.38.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Veranopolis, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Veranopolis Clean Sheet 68%
Passo Fundo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veranopolis Passo Fundo
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.15 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Veranopolis
2:2
Jul 31, 2025 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Passo Fundo
2:1
Jun 1, 2025 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Passo Fundo
1:2
Jun 19, 2024 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Veranopolis
1:3
Jun 5, 2024 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Passo Fundo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Veranopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Romario
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Passo Fundo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Spaniol
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veranopolis 41 / 100
Passo Fundo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veranopolis Passo Fundo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veranopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Veranopolis found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).

Veranopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Passo Fundo conceded in 50% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Veranopolis VS Passo Fundo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Veranopolis

(Home)
09 Sept
Veranopolis
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
06 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 2
Veranopolis
01 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
1 : 0
Veranopolis
23 Aug
Veranopolis
0 : 3
Santa Cruz RS
19 Aug
Apafut
1 : 2
Veranopolis
Page 1 of 6

Passo Fundo

(Away)
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Gramadense
06 Sept
Passo Fundo
0 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
01 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
23 Aug
Pelotas
3 : 3
Passo Fundo
19 Aug
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter Santa Maria 2
GE Bage 0
Passo Fundo 3
Veranopolis 4
Aimore 3
Lajeadense 0
Novo Hamburgo 5
Gramadense 1
Semi-finals
Inter Santa Maria 3
Veranopolis 1
Aimore 1
Novo Hamburgo 3
Final
Inter Santa Maria 2
Novo Hamburgo 3