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Veranopolis vs Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rafael Mineiro
49' Event
Matheus Guimaraes

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Veranopolis and Pelotas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Veranopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Veranopolis
30%
Draws
27%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Veranopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Veranopolis come out ahead of Pelotas on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Veranopolis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Veranopolis Clean Sheet 68%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veranopolis Pelotas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Pelotas
2:0
Mar 10, 2019 Gaucho
Veranopolis vs Pelotas
0:0
Jan 22, 2014 Gaucho
Pelotas vs Veranopolis
0:0
Feb 6, 2013 Gaucho
Pelotas vs Veranopolis
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Veranopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Mineiro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Guimaraes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Pelotas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veranopolis 95 / 100
Pelotas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veranopolis Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veranopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Veranopolis remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Veranopolis scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Pelotas has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Veranopolis VS Pelotas
1 Goals Scored 2
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Veranopolis

(Home)
19 Aug
Apafut
1 : 2
Veranopolis
16 Aug
Veranopolis
2 : 0
Pelotas
12 Aug
Veranopolis
3 : 0
Aimore
09 Aug
EC Guarani
0 : 0
Veranopolis
05 Aug
Veranopolis
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
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Pelotas

(Away)
16 Aug
Veranopolis
2 : 0
Pelotas
13 Aug
SC Gaucho
2 : 0
Pelotas
09 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 1
GE Bage
05 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 0
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
02 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 7 4 3 0 10:3 15
2 Veranopolis 7 4 2 1 8:4 14
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 7 3 4 0 7:3 13
4 Santa Cruz RS 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
5 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 7 3 2 2 7:4 11
6 Aimore 7 3 2 2 5:6 11
7 Apafut 7 2 3 2 7:5 9
8 Brasil de Pelotas 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
9 Pelotas 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
10 SC Gaucho 7 2 1 4 6:6 7
11 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
12 EC Guarani 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
13 Gramadense 7 1 3 3 4:7 6
14 GE Bage 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
15 GE Gloria 6 0 3 3 2:5 3
16 Lajeadense 7 0 2 5 2:11 2
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)