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Verbania vs Savona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verbania play Savona in the Serie D - Group A 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Verbania averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Savona averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Verbania won 0, Savona won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 12, 2020 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Verbania and 0.61 for Savona. This points to a Savona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Verbania
32%
Draws
42%
Savona
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Savona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Verbania picked up more points recently compared to Savona.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 0.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Verbania Clean Sheet 29%
Savona Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verbania Savona
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 4 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.85 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.24

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Verbania vs Savona
2:2
Sep 8, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Verbania
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verbania Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrabissi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Savona Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghinassi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stronati R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verbania 29 / 100
Savona 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verbania Savona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Savona or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Verbania attacking → ← attacking Savona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verbania scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

Savona let in goals in 67% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Verbania went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Savona lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 32
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00