Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verdal vs Nardo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hauknes A. E.
7' Event
Hansen E.
13' Event
Krokbo A.

AI Match Summary

Nardo in this Division 3 - Group 4 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Verdal
15%
Draws
85%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nardo lately — more wins on the board than Verdal.
  • Model gives Nardo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Nardo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Verdal Clean Sheet 10%
Nardo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdal Nardo
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.94
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Verdal vs Nardo
1:6
May 16, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Nardo vs Verdal
5:1
Aug 26, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Verdal
3:0
May 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Verdal vs Nardo
1:0
Jul 25, 2021 NM Cup
Verdal vs Nardo
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauknes A. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krokbo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdal 10 / 100
Nardo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdal Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Verdal found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Away concern: Nardo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Verdal VS Nardo
1 Goals Scored 2
10 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdal

(Home)
24 Jan
Levanger
10 : 1
Verdal
13 Apr
Verdal
0 : 8
Levanger
27 Oct
Verdal
1 : 6
Nardo
20 Oct
Melhus
4 : 0
Verdal
05 Oct
Verdal
1 : 3
Tiller
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Nardo

(Away)
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
03 Aug
Nardo
3 : 0
Molde 2
25 Jul
Spjelkavik
4 : 2
Nardo
27 Jun
Ranheim 2
5 : 3
Nardo
20 Jun
Nardo
2 : 0
Ntnui
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