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Verdal vs Stabaek 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wendt W.
8' Event
Hansen S.
11'
Bawa A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2024 game between Verdal and Stabaek 2 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Verdal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Verdal
20%
Draws
80%
Stabaek 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stabaek 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Stabaek 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Stabaek 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Verdal Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdal Stabaek 2
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.43 2.44
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Verdal vs Stabaek 2
3:2
Jun 2, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Verdal
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Vollan M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hansen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendt W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrington R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdal 10 / 100
Stabaek 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdal Stabaek 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stabaek 2 conceded in 88% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Verdal scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Stabaek 2 has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Verdal VS Stabaek 2
1 Goals Scored 2.5
10 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdal

(Home)
24 Jan
Levanger
10 : 1
Verdal
13 Apr
Verdal
0 : 8
Levanger
27 Oct
Verdal
1 : 6
Nardo
20 Oct
Melhus
4 : 0
Verdal
05 Oct
Verdal
1 : 3
Tiller
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Stabaek 2

(Away)
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
03 Aug
Brodd
2 : 2
Stabaek 2
25 Jul
Stabaek 2
1 : 1
Viking 2
28 Jun
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Stabaek 2
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