Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verden vs VfL Oldenburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Niehues T.
47' Event
Wilhelmi E.
88' Event
Bockau K.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niedersachsen 2024/2025 game between Verden and VfL Oldenburg finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfL Oldenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Verden
30%
Draws
31%
VfL Oldenburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Verden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Verden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Verden are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Verden Clean Sheet 18%
VfL Oldenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verden VfL Oldenburg
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.62 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Verden vs VfL Oldenburg
0:3
Aug 25, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
VfL Oldenburg vs Verden
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

VfL Oldenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Niehues T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilhelmi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verden 36 / 100
VfL Oldenburg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verden VfL Oldenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Verden scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

VfL Oldenburg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Verden has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Verden VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Verden

(Home)
23 Aug
Verden
2 : 1
Drochtersen / Assel II
16 Aug
Verden
2 : 2
Hemmingen-Westerfeld
09 Aug
Vorsfelde
1 : 0
Verden
18 Jul
Verden
2 : 6
Werder Bremen
12 Jul
St. Pauli II
5 : 5
Verden
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VfL Oldenburg

(Away)
31 Jan
Aabenraa
0 : 0
VfL Oldenburg
27 Jun
Jeddeloh
4 : 0
VfL Oldenburg
18 May
VfL Oldenburg
0 : 1
Heeslinger SC
11 May
Egestorf-Langreder
1 : 0
VfL Oldenburg
04 May
VfL Oldenburg
3 : 0
Vorsfelde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hannoverscher SC 34 18 7 9 70:50 61
2 Schoningen 34 16 12 6 55:37 60
3 Delmenhorst 34 17 8 9 57:37 59
4 TuS Bersenbruck 34 15 9 10 62:65 54
5 Spelle-Venhaus 34 15 6 13 59:49 51
6 Heeslinger SC 34 15 6 13 64:55 51
7 Meppen II 34 14 8 12 50:53 50
8 Hildesheim 34 13 10 11 55:45 49
9 BSV Rehden 34 13 10 11 51:45 49
10 Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg 34 13 6 15 60:62 45
11 SV Wilhelmshaven 34 12 9 13 46:51 45
12 Egestorf-Langreder 34 11 10 13 32:40 43
13 Braunschweig U23 34 11 8 15 51:59 41
14 Verden 34 9 13 12 60:67 40
15 Vorsfelde 34 11 7 16 40:52 40
16 Eintracht Celle 34 10 6 18 43:61 36
17 Arminia Hannover 34 9 8 17 36:46 35
18 VfL Oldenburg 34 7 11 16 33:50 32
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2024/2025 (Relegation)