Sport Picks
Verdes vs Alajuelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 
Match Events
41'
41'
Barrantes M.
54'
54'
Gondola F.
88'
88'
Suarez A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Alajuelense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alajuelense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Alajuelense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Alajuelense taking it.
- Alajuelense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Alajuelense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Verdes Clean Sheet 10%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Verdes | Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 31 |
| Wins | 1 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.52 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.6 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2023 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Verdes vs Alajuelense
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Verdes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Alajuelense Compare
Top Goalscorer Barrantes M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gondola F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Verdes 10 / 100
Alajuelense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Verdes Alajuelense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alajuelense let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Verdes found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (24 games).
Alajuelense's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Verdes VS Alajuelense
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Verdes
(Home) 19 Aug
Cartagines
4 : 0 Verdes
13 Aug
FAS
4 : 1 Verdes
07 Aug
Verdes
0 : 1 Municipal
29 Jul
Verdes
0 : 5 Motagua
21 Aug
Cartagines
8 : 1 Verdes
Page 1 of 5
07 Aug
Verdes
0 : 1 Municipal
29 Jul
Verdes
0 : 5 Motagua
06 Aug
Verdes
1 : 2 Saprissa
30 Jul
Verdes
1 : 4 Motagua
08 Aug
Verdes
0 : 3 Alajuelense
Page 1 of 3
Alajuelense
(Away) 20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0 Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1 Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1 Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2 Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2 Saprissa
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1 Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2 Alajuelense
30 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 1 Alajuelense
21 Aug
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 0 Alajuelense
10 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3 Alajuelense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saprissa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Union Deportivo Universitario | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Coban Imperial | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Jocoro | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Esteli | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | FAS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Herediano | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Comunicaciones | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Aguila | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 5 | Diriangen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:3 | 2 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alajuelense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Motagua | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting San Miguelito | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Olancho | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 5 | Verdes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:15 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
