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Verdes vs Santos De Guapiles

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Vargas J.
31'
Bennett A.
43'
August J.

AI Match Summary

Santos De Guapiles in this CONCACAF League 2021 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Verdes
20%
Draws
80%
Santos De Guapiles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos De Guapiles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos De Guapiles lately — more wins on the board than Verdes.
  • Model gives Santos De Guapiles a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Santos De Guapiles arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos De Guapiles, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Verdes Clean Sheet 10%
Santos De Guapiles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdes Santos De Guapiles
Matches Played 25 32
Wins 1 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.52 1.44
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2021 CONCACAF League
Santos De Guapiles vs Verdes
5:1
Aug 6, 2021 CONCACAF League
Verdes vs Santos De Guapiles
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verdes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Santos De Guapiles Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdes 10 / 100
Santos De Guapiles 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdes Santos De Guapiles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos De Guapiles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Santos De Guapiles let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Verdes found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (24 games).

Santos De Guapiles lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verdes VS Santos De Guapiles
0.63 Goals Scored 1
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdes

(Home)
19 Aug
Cartagines
4 : 0
Verdes
13 Aug
FAS
4 : 1
Verdes
07 Aug
Verdes
0 : 1
Municipal
29 Jul
Verdes
0 : 5
Motagua
21 Aug
Cartagines
8 : 1
Verdes
Page 1 of 5

Santos De Guapiles

(Away)
07 May
San Carlos
3 : 0
Santos De Guapiles
03 May
Santos De Guapiles
3 : 1
Zeledon
26 Apr
Santa Ana
3 : 3
Santos De Guapiles
19 Apr
Santos De Guapiles
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
16 Apr
Herediano
2 : 1
Santos De Guapiles
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Verdes 1
Santos De Guapiles 6
TBD -
Plaza Amador -
Forge FC 5
FAS 3
TBD -
Independiente -
Diriangen 1
Marathon 3
TBD -
Esteli -
Samaritaine -
Union Deportivo Universitario -
TBD -
Motagua -
Inter Moengotapoe -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimpia -
Guastatoya -
TBD -
TBD -
Alajuelense -
Santa Lucia 5
Metropolitan FA 1
TBD -
Saprissa -
Comunicaciones 4
11 Deportivo 1
TBD -
Alianza FC -
1/8-finals
Santos De Guapiles 3
Plaza Amador 0
Forge FC 2
Independiente 0
Marathon 3
Esteli 2
Union Deportivo Universitario 2
Motagua 3
Inter Moengotapoe 0
Olimpia 6
Guastatoya 3
Alajuelense 3
Santa Lucia 2
Saprissa 6
Comunicaciones 3
Alianza FC 1
Quarter-finals
Santos De Guapiles 3
Forge FC 4
Marathon 0
Motagua 4
TBD -
Guastatoya -
Saprissa 5
Comunicaciones 5
Semi-finals
Forge FC 2
Motagua 2
Guastatoya 1
Comunicaciones 3
Final
Motagua 3
Comunicaciones 6