Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Kuboniwa R.
48'
48'
Mae T.
51'
51'
Teranuma S.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League 2026 game between Verdy and Chiba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Verdy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Verdy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Verdy come out ahead of Chiba on wins alone.
- 23% — that's where the model lands on Chiba taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Verdy Clean Sheet 16%
Chiba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Verdy | Chiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Chiba
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Verdy
3:2
Nov 26, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Chiba
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Chiba
3:2
Apr 16, 2023 J2 League
Chiba vs Verdy
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Verdy Compare
Top Goalscorer Teranuma S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Chiba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Verdy 28 / 100
Chiba 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Verdy Chiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chiba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chiba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Verdy found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Chiba registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Verdy VS Chiba
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Verdy
(Home) 14 Aug
Verdy
1 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
09 Aug
Verdy
1 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
06 Jun
Verdy
2 : 4 Gamba Osaka
30 May
Gamba Osaka
1 : 1 Verdy
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Verdy
1 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
09 Aug
Verdy
1 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
06 Jun
Verdy
2 : 4 Gamba Osaka
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos
03 May
Verdy
1 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 4
Chiba
(Away) 08 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Chiba
01 Aug
Chiba
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2 Chiba
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Chiba
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2 Chiba
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
06 May
FC Tokyo
0 : 3 Chiba
02 May
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Chiba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
