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Vereya 2 vs Karnobat

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2016/2017 game between Vereya 2 and Karnobat finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karnobat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vereya 2
15%
Draws
0%
Karnobat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vereya 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vereya 2 come out ahead of Karnobat on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Vereya 2 taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Karnobat have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vereya 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vereya 2 Karnobat
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 3
Draws 2 1
Losses 19 28
Goals Scored 1.33 0.41
Goals Conceded 2.7 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2018 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Vereya 2
2:1
Nov 4, 2017 Third League - South-East
Vereya 2 vs Karnobat
2:4
Apr 25, 2017 Third League - South-East
Vereya 2 vs Karnobat
1:3
Oct 15, 2016 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Vereya 2
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vereya 2 49 / 100
Karnobat 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vereya 2 Karnobat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vereya 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karnobat has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Karnobat has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vereya 2 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karnobat
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 3.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vereya 2

(Home)
02 Jun
Vereya 2
3 : 4
Sokol Markovo
26 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1
Vereya 2
19 May
Vereya 2
0 : 4
Zagorets
12 May
Karnobat
2 : 1
Vereya 2
09 May
Vereya 2
1 : 1
Radnevo
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Karnobat

(Away)
31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0
Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0
Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Spartak Plovdiv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)