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Vereya vs Chernomorets 1919

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023 Trace Arena
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AI Match Summary

Chernomorets 1919 in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vereya
22%
Draws
60%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Chernomorets 1919 have won more games recently than Vereya.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Chernomorets 1919 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chernomorets 1919 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vereya Clean Sheet 20%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vereya Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 15
Draws 0 9
Losses 28 10
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 Third League - South-East
Vereya vs Chernomorets 1919
0:5
Sep 24, 2022 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets 1919 vs Vereya
7:0
Apr 7, 2021 Third League - South-East
Vereya vs Chernomorets 1919
0:2
Sep 26, 2020 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets 1919 vs Vereya
4:0
Apr 26, 2015 Vtora liga
Vereya vs Chernomorets 1919
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vereya 20 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vereya Chernomorets 1919

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Chernomorets 1919 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Vereya's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chernomorets 1919 conceded in 53% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chernomorets 1919
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar38265784:3283
2Chernomorets 191938248682:2680
3Gigant Saedinenie38239669:2878
4Zagorets382210664:1976
5OFC Haskovo38209968:3669
6Rozova Dolina382081066:2968
7Spartak Plovdiv381981173:4365
8Asenovets381971269:4164
9Lok. Plovdiv II382041457:3364
10Yambol 1915381691357:4857
11Rodopa Smolyan381671551:4855
12Dimitrovgrad381641852:5452
13Sokol Markovo381532054:5848
14Levski Karlovo381262045:6942
15Karnobat381181937:5741
16Beroe II381142345:7437
17Atletik Kuklen381132437:8336
18Sliven381062258:9336
19Borislav Parvomay38562734:9221
20Vereya38203624:1636