Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023 Trace Arena

Vereya

1 - 3

Dimitrovgrad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2022/2023 game between Vereya and Dimitrovgrad finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Vereya

Draws

90%

Dimitrovgrad

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dimitrovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Dimitrovgrad carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Dimitrovgrad a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Dimitrovgrad have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Vereya Clean Sheet 20%

Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vereya	Dimitrovgrad
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	2	15
Draws	0	3
Losses	28	21
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2023 Third League - South-East

Vereya vs Dimitrovgrad

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Oct 4, 2022 Third League - South-East

Dimitrovgrad vs Vereya

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

4:0

Apr 24, 2021 Third League - South-East

Dimitrovgrad vs Vereya

Possession: 60% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Oct 17, 2020 Third League - South-East

Vereya vs Dimitrovgrad

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vereya 10 / 100

Dimitrovgrad 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vereya Dimitrovgrad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Dimitrovgrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 39 matches.

Difficult form: Dimitrovgrad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vereya found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Dimitrovgrad

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 2.25

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	38	26	5	7	84:32	83
2	Chernomorets 1919	38	24	8	6	82:26	80
3	Gigant Saedinenie	38	23	9	6	69:28	78
4	Zagorets	38	22	10	6	64:19	76
5	OFC Haskovo	38	20	9	9	68:36	69
6	Rozova Dolina	38	20	8	10	66:29	68
7	Spartak Plovdiv	38	19	8	11	73:43	65
8	Asenovets	38	19	7	12	69:41	64
9	Lok. Plovdiv II	38	20	4	14	57:33	64
10	Yambol 1915	38	16	9	13	57:48	57
11	Rodopa Smolyan	38	16	7	15	51:48	55
12	Dimitrovgrad	38	16	4	18	52:54	52
13	Sokol Markovo	38	15	3	20	54:58	48
14	Levski Karlovo	38	12	6	20	45:69	42
15	Karnobat	38	11	8	19	37:57	41
16	Beroe II	38	11	4	23	45:74	37
17	Atletik Kuklen	38	11	3	24	37:83	36
18	Sliven	38	10	6	22	58:93	36
19	Borislav Parvomay	38	5	6	27	34:92	21
20	Vereya	38	2	0	36	24:163	6