Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023 Trace Arena

Vereya

0 - 2

Nesebar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nesebar in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Vereya

Draws

90%

Nesebar

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Nesebar have won more games recently than Vereya.
Model gives Nesebar a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Nesebar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Vereya Clean Sheet 10%

Nesebar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vereya	Nesebar
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	2	30
Draws	0	7
Losses	28	2
Goals Scored	0	2.63
Goals Conceded	0	0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 Third League - South-East

Vereya vs Nesebar

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Sep 10, 2022 Third League - South-East

Nesebar vs Vereya

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

May 15, 2021 Third League - South-East

Nesebar vs Vereya

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

6:0

Nov 14, 2020 Third League - South-East

Vereya vs Nesebar

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vereya 10 / 100

Nesebar 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vereya Nesebar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NES Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Vereya's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nesebar conceded in 51% of 39 recent games.

Vereya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nesebar

0 Goals Scored 2.63

0 Goals Conceded 0.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	38	26	5	7	84:32	83
2	Chernomorets 1919	38	24	8	6	82:26	80
3	Gigant Saedinenie	38	23	9	6	69:28	78
4	Zagorets	38	22	10	6	64:19	76
5	OFC Haskovo	38	20	9	9	68:36	69
6	Rozova Dolina	38	20	8	10	66:29	68
7	Spartak Plovdiv	38	19	8	11	73:43	65
8	Asenovets	38	19	7	12	69:41	64
9	Lok. Plovdiv II	38	20	4	14	57:33	64
10	Yambol 1915	38	16	9	13	57:48	57
11	Rodopa Smolyan	38	16	7	15	51:48	55
12	Dimitrovgrad	38	16	4	18	52:54	52
13	Sokol Markovo	38	15	3	20	54:58	48
14	Levski Karlovo	38	12	6	20	45:69	42
15	Karnobat	38	11	8	19	37:57	41
16	Beroe II	38	11	4	23	45:74	37
17	Atletik Kuklen	38	11	3	24	37:83	36
18	Sliven	38	10	6	22	58:93	36
19	Borislav Parvomay	38	5	6	27	34:92	21
20	Vereya	38	2	0	36	24:163	6