Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verin CF vs SD Negreira

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Verin CF
15%
Draws
85%
SD Negreira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Negreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Verin CF haven't matched SD Negreira's recent run of results.
  • SD Negreira are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Verin CF Clean Sheet 20%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verin CF SD Negreira
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Verin CF vs SD Negreira
1:2
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Verin CF
1:0
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Verin CF vs SD Negreira
1:1
Sep 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Verin CF
2:1
Apr 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Verin CF vs SD Negreira
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verin CF 16 / 100
SD Negreira 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verin CF SD Negreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Negreira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Negreira let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

SD Negreira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Verin CF's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SD Negreira
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Verin CF

(Home)
15 May
Verin CF
0 : 1
Bergantinos
08 May
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 0
Verin CF
01 May
Verin CF
0 : 1
Cerceda
24 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 0
Verin CF
17 Apr
Verin CF
0 : 2
Noia
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SD Negreira

(Away)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 36 26 4 6 65:33 82
2 Cerceda 36 21 7 8 52:29 70
3 CD Ourense 36 19 11 6 70:34 68
4 Coruxo FC 36 17 13 6 54:32 64
5 Naron 36 18 5 13 49:45 59
6 Alondras 36 14 12 10 48:38 54
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 8 13 46:43 53
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:37 51
9 Racing Club Villalbes 36 12 12 12 36:37 48
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 12 11 13 37:35 47
11 Santa Comba 36 13 7 16 44:48 46
12 Villalonga 36 11 11 14 36:39 44
13 CD Cultural Areas 36 11 11 14 34:50 44
14 Bergantinos 36 11 9 16 30:49 42
15 Pontevedra B 36 11 7 18 44:47 40
16 Somozas 36 11 6 19 40:56 39
17 Lalin 36 9 11 16 38:51 38
18 Celtiga 36 8 12 16 37:45 36
19 Verin CF 36 3 6 27 26:79 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)