Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verl vs Duisburg

Germany Germany

3. Liga Sportclub Arena, Verl
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Heike T.
Assist: Mesanovic A.
20'
Symalla J.
28'
Otto Y.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga game between Verl and Duisburg finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duisburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Verl
20%
Draws
58%
Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Verl haven't matched Duisburg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Duisburg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Duisburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Verl Clean Sheet 13%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verl Duisburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.3 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3. Liga
Verl vs Duisburg
2:4
Feb 8, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Verl
4:2
Aug 30, 2025 3. Liga
Verl vs Duisburg
2:3
Feb 10, 2024 3. Liga
Verl vs Duisburg
1:3
Sep 15, 2023 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Verl
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verl Compare

Top Goalscorer Heike T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leipold A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruger F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sussek P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verl 11 / 100
Duisburg 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verl Duisburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Verl scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Duisburg let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Verl went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verl VS Duisburg
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Verl

(Home)
15 Aug
Verl
2 : 4
Duisburg
09 Aug
Alemannia Aachen
4 : 1
Verl
01 Aug
RB Leipzig
4 : 0
Verl
26 Jul
Verl
6 : 1
Bremer
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0
Verl
Page 1 of 6

Duisburg

(Away)
15 Aug
Verl
2 : 4
Duisburg
08 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Meppen
01 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0
Duisburg
25 Jul
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1
Duisburg
22 Jul
Duisburg
2 : 4
Beerschot VA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Wurzburger Kickers 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
3 Alemannia Aachen 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
4 Preussen Munster 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Regensburg 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
6 Saarbrucken 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
7 Hoffenheim II 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
8 VfB Stuttgart II 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
9 Hansa Rostock 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Mannheim 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Meppen 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
13 RW Essen 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
14 Ingolstadt 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
15 Fortuna Koln 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 TSV Havelse 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
17 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
18 Dusseldorf 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Verl 2 0 0 2 3:8 0
20 Wehen 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)