Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Heike T.
Assist: Mesanovic A.
20'
20'
Symalla J.
28'
28'
Otto Y.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Liga game between Verl and Duisburg finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duisburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duisburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Verl haven't matched Duisburg's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- Duisburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Verl Clean Sheet 10%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Verl | Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 3. Liga
Verl vs Duisburg
2:4
Feb 8, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Verl
4:2
Aug 30, 2025 3. Liga
Verl vs Duisburg
2:3
Feb 10, 2024 3. Liga
Verl vs Duisburg
1:3
Sep 15, 2023 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Verl
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Verl Compare
Top Goalscorer Heike T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Leipold A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Duisburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Kruger F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sussek P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Verl 30 / 100
Duisburg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Verl Duisburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Duisburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.
Verl scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Duisburg let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Verl went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Verl VS Duisburg
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Verl
(Home) 03 Oct
Hannover
2 : 0 Verl
18 Sept
Verl
2 : 1 Wurzburger Kickers
15 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 1 Verl
12 Sept
Verl
2 : 1 Meppen
05 Sept
Mannheim
0 : 1 Verl
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Verl
2 : 1 Wurzburger Kickers
12 Sept
Verl
2 : 1 Meppen
29 Aug
Verl
1 : 2 Fortuna Koln
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Verl
2 : 4 Duisburg
Page 1 of 3
Duisburg
(Away) 20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4 Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1 TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2 Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0 Wurzburger Kickers
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4 Duisburg
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2 Duisburg
15 Aug
Verl
2 : 4 Duisburg
01 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0 Duisburg
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duisburg | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:7 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Koln | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 15 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Saarbrucken | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19:12 | 13 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Preussen Munster | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Dusseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Verl | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 12 | Fortuna Koln | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Ingolstadt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 16 | Wurzburger Kickers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 17 | Meppen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | 6 |
| 18 | Regensburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Wehen | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | 5 |
| 20 | TSV Havelse | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 4 |
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
