Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verl vs Regensburg

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Sportclub Arena, Verl
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Karbstein M.
19' Event
Eichinger N.
35' Event
Eichinger N.
Assist: Bauer B.

AI Match Summary

Regensburg in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Verl
6%
Draws
4%
Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Verl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Verl have won more games recently than Regensburg.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Verl taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Regensburg here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Verl Clean Sheet 16%
Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verl Regensburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 3. Liga
Verl vs Regensburg
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Verl
2:0
Jan 20, 2024 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Verl
1:1
Aug 20, 2023 3. Liga
Verl vs Regensburg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verl Compare

Top Goalscorer Arweiler J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Regensburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Eichinger N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verl 84 / 100
Regensburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verl Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Verl scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Regensburg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Verl stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verl VS Regensburg
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Verl

(Home)
26 Jul
Verl
6 : 1
Bremer
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0
Verl
15 Jul
Paderborn II
0 : 1
Verl
11 Jul
Verl
9 : 0
VfB Schloss Holte 1919
16 May
Verl
3 : 0
Munich 1860
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Regensburg

(Away)
25 Jul
Stutt. Kickers
1 : 2
Regensburg
15 Jul
Regensburg
2 : 3
Vilzing
09 Jul
Unterhaching
0 : 2
Regensburg
06 Jul
FC Schwaig
2 : 2
Regensburg
03 Jul
Ried
2 : 4
Regensburg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VfL Osnabruck38248666:3480
2Energie Cottbus38219872:5172
3RW Essen382010878:6670
4Duisburg381911866:4968
5Hansa Rostock381813774:4967
6Verl3818101082:4864
7Alemannia Aachen381971276:5764
8Munich 18603815111254:5356
9Wehen381581554:5253
10Mannheim381571659:7252
11FC Viktoria Koln381561751:5351
12Ingolstadt3813101565:5649
13Regensburg381471754:5849
14VfB Stuttgart II381371857:6946
15Saarbrucken3810141451:5744
16Hoffenheim II381271965:7143
17TSV Havelse38982157:8935
18Aue387131851:7034
19Ulm38962349:7833
201. FC Schweinfurt38562738:8721
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)