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Vermont Green vs Dothan United

USA USA

USL League Two 2025 Virtue Field, Burlington, VT
Sun, Jul 27, 2025
1 - 0
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Vermont Green advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Vermont Green
15%
Draws
32%
Dothan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Vermont Green carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vermont Green are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vermont Green have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vermont Green, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 64.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 16%
Dothan United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vermont Green Dothan United
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 27 23
Draws 2 4
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 3.77 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Dothan United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 84 / 100
Dothan United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vermont Green Dothan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Vermont Green has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dothan United has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vermont Green VS Dothan United
4.75 Goals Scored 1.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 86%
100% Over 2.5 57%
100% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Vermont Green

(Home)
01 Aug
Flint City
1 : 2
Vermont Green
27 Jul
Laredo Heat
1 : 7
Vermont Green
24 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Asheville City
19 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ocean City
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
Page 1 of 6

Dothan United

(Away)
17 Jul
Dothan United
0 : 1
Brave SC
12 Jul
Dothan United
3 : 0
Apotheos
08 Jul
Apotheos
0 : 2
Dothan United
02 Jul
Montgomery United
1 : 2
Dothan United
28 Jun
Swarm FC
3 : 1
Dothan United
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vermont Green 4
Hudson Valley 1
Motown 2 2
Western Pioneers 1
Lionsbridge 4
Salem City 0
Northern Virginia 2
West Chester United 0
Dothan United 1
Little Rock Rangers 0
Asheville City 2
Louisiana Krewe 3
Sarasota Paradise 2
Sporting Jax 0
Laredo Heat 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 6
Colorado Storm 0
Utah United 0
Snohomish United 2
Ventura 2
San Juan 1
Almaden 1
Tucson 2
Flint City 4
Steel City 3
Fort Wayne 3
Midwest United 2
Minneapolis City 3
Peoria IL 2
Menace 2
Sueno 4
1/8-finals
Vermont Green 3
Motown 2 2
Lionsbridge 2
Northern Virginia 1
Dothan United 2
Louisiana Krewe 0
Sarasota Paradise 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 2
Snohomish United 1
Ventura 2
Tucson 0
Flint City 2
Fort Wayne 0
Minneapolis City 2
Sueno 0
Quarter-finals
Vermont Green 3
Lionsbridge 1
Dothan United 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Ballard 2
Ventura 1
Flint City 2
Minneapolis City 1
Semi-finals
Vermont Green 1
Dothan United 0
Ballard 2
Flint City 1
Final
Vermont Green 2
Ballard 1