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Vestfossen vs Baerum 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2015 game between Vestfossen and Baerum 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vestfossen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vestfossen
15%
Draws
59%
Baerum 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Baerum 2 haven't matched Vestfossen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vestfossen a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Vestfossen Clean Sheet 15%
Baerum 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestfossen Baerum 2
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 2.05 2.18
Goals Conceded 2.58 2.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Vestfossen vs Baerum 2
5:1
May 7, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Baerum 2 vs Vestfossen
3:2
Sep 8, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Vestfossen vs Baerum 2
3:0
May 19, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Baerum 2 vs Vestfossen
1:1
Sep 15, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Baerum 2 vs Vestfossen
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestfossen 41 / 100
Baerum 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestfossen Baerum 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vestfossen scored in 83% of their last 40 games.

Baerum 2 let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Vestfossen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vestfossen VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestfossen

(Home)
13 Aug
Vestfossen
1 : 5
Mjondalen
25 Jul
Vestfossen
1 : 3
Moss
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Brann 2
5 : 1
Vestfossen
12 Oct
Vestfossen
2 : 4
Sogndal 2
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Baerum 2

(Away)
22 Oct
Holmen
6 : 1
Baerum 2
15 Oct
Baerum 2
4 : 0
Kongsberg
10 Oct
Ready
1 : 1
Baerum 2
03 Oct
Baerum 2
1 : 7
Assiden
27 Sept
Drammen
1 : 5
Baerum 2
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