Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vestfossen vs Moss

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Skarn C.
32' Event
Skarn C.
45' Event
Sell J. B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Moss advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vestfossen
15%
Draws
59%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moss come out ahead of Vestfossen on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Moss arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Moss, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Moss have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Vestfossen Clean Sheet 15%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestfossen Moss
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2021 NM Cup
Vestfossen vs Moss
1:3
Sep 23, 2017 Division 3 - Group 1
Moss vs Vestfossen
2:2
Jun 10, 2017 Division 3 - Group 1
Vestfossen vs Moss
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vestfossen Compare

Top Goalscorer Sell J. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Skarn C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestfossen 31 / 100
Moss 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestfossen Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Vestfossen's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Vestfossen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moss
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestfossen

(Home)
13 Aug
Vestfossen
1 : 5
Mjondalen
25 Jul
Vestfossen
1 : 3
Moss
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Brann 2
5 : 1
Vestfossen
12 Oct
Vestfossen
2 : 4
Sogndal 2
Page 1 of 7

Moss

(Away)
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3
Moss
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Sola 1
Madla IL 0
Hinna 0
Bryne 4
Herd 0
Hodd 3
Spjelkavik 1
Molde 4
Ullern 3
Asker 1
Lyn 0
Valerenga 4
Flint 1
Fram 2
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Odds BK 1
Ardal 0
Floro 1
Fjora 0
Sogndal 3
Stord 3
Haugesund 2
Lysekloster 1
Asane 2
OS TF 2
Oygarden FK 6
Sandviken 1
Fyllingsdalen 2
Nordstrand 3
Baerum 2
Kvik Halden 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Vestfossen 1
Moss 3
Krakeroy 0
Fredrikstad 3
Akra 3
V. Haugesund 2
Brodd 0
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 2
Egersund 1
IL Express 0
Start 8
Halsen 1
Notodden 5
Assiden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Toten 0
Brumunddal 1
Ham-Kam 2
Gjellerasen 1
Eidsvold TF 4
Nybergsund 0
Raufoss 1
Ready 4
Grei 0
Honefoss 0
Stromsgodset 2
Orn 1
Ull/Kisa 2
Follo 0
Stabaek 1
Kolstad 0
Levanger 5
Byasen 3
Ranheim 4
Sunndal 0
Brattvag 4
Traeff 0
Aalesund 4
Skjervoy 0
Alta 1
Skanland 0
Tromso 11
Junkeren 2
Mjolner 0
Rana FK 1
Bodo/Glimt 4
Verdal 0
Nardo 6
Ntnui 0
Stjordals Blink 6
Mandalskameratene 1
Arendal 2
Pors 1
Sandefjord 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 0
Kjelsas 1
Stovner 2
Grorud 5
Oppsal 0
Skeid 2
Funnefoss/Vormsund 0
Lillestrom 4
Floya 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Frigg 2
KFUM Oslo 4
Tynset 1
Tiller 4
Volda 2
Kristiansund 4
Harstad 2
Melbo 0
Finnsnes 0
Senja 3
Fana 2
Sotra 1
Bjarg 0
Brann 5
Elverum 1
Kongsvinger 3
Lorenskog 1
Strommen 2
Vindbjart 0
Flekkeroy 1
Donn 1
Jerv 2
Vardeneset 0
Djerv 1919 3
Staal Jorpeland 2
Viking 3
Strindheim 2
Orkla 4
Melhus 0
Rosenborg 7
1/32-finals
Sola 0
Bryne 6
Hodd 1
Molde 2
Ullern 1
Valerenga 3
Fram 0
Odds BK 1
Floro 1
Sogndal 5
Stord 0
Asane 4
Oygarden FK 2
Fyllingsdalen 1
Nordstrand 0
Sarpsborg 08 3
Moss 3
Fredrikstad 1
Akra 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 0
Start 2
Notodden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 3
Eidsvold TF 1
Raufoss 3
Ready 0
Stromsgodset 1
Ull/Kisa 0
Stabaek 1
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Brattvag 2
Aalesund 3
Alta 3
Tromso 1
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 3
Stjordals Blink 0
Arendal 5
Sandefjord 4
Kjelsas 0
Grorud 1
Skeid 1
Lillestrom 2
Floya 1
KFUM Oslo 5
Tiller 1
Kristiansund 5
Harstad 3
Senja 2
Fana 0
Brann 3
Kongsvinger 3
Strommen 0
Flekkeroy 3
Jerv 2
Djerv 1919 0
Viking 2
Orkla 1
Rosenborg 11
1/16-finals
Bryne 1
Molde 4
Valerenga 0
Odds BK 3
Sogndal 0
Asane 2
Oygarden FK 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Moss 1
Sandnes Ulf 7
Start 4
Mjondalen 2
Ham-Kam 1
Raufoss 2
Stromsgodset 5
Stabaek 1
Ranheim 1
Aalesund 2
Alta 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Nardo 3
Arendal 2
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
KFUM Oslo 3
Kristiansund 1
Harstad 0
Brann 5
Kongsvinger 4
Flekkeroy 1
Viking 3
Rosenborg 1
1/8-finals
Molde 3
Odds BK 2
Asane 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Sandnes Ulf 2
Start 0
Raufoss 1
Stromsgodset 2
Aalesund 0
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 0
Lillestrom 4
KFUM Oslo 1
Brann 0
Kongsvinger 0
Viking 2
Quarter-finals
Molde 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Stromsgodset 4
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 1
KFUM Oslo 0
Viking 5
Semi-finals
Molde 3
Stromsgodset 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Viking 1
Final
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 0