Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vestri vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass, Ísafjörður
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Balde I.
33'
Hafthorsson T. G.
36'
Gardarsson E.

AI Match Summary

Vestri in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vestri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vestri
15%
Draws
51%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vestri haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
  • Afturelding are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestri Afturelding
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.19 2.93
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Vestri
2:0
Jun 21, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Afturelding
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
Afturelding vs Vestri
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
Afturelding vs Vestri
1:1
May 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vestri vs Afturelding
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Duah E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hermannsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Afturelding Compare

Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestri 10 / 100
Afturelding 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestri Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vestri scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Afturelding let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Vestri went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vestri VS Afturelding
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestri

(Home)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

Afturelding

(Away)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)