Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vestri vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass, Ísafjörður
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Balde I.
33'
Hafthorsson T. G.
36'
Gardarsson E.

AI Match Summary

Vestri in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vestri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Vestri
15%
Draws
78%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Vestri haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
  • Afturelding are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestri Afturelding
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.37 2.67
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Afturelding
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
Afturelding vs Vestri
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
Afturelding vs Vestri
1:1
May 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vestri vs Afturelding
2:0
Sep 30, 2023 Division 1
Vestri vs Afturelding
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Duah E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hermannsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Afturelding Compare

Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestri 10 / 100
Afturelding 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestri Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Vestri scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Vestri went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vestri VS Afturelding
0.75 Goals Scored 3.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestri

(Home)
08 Aug
Njardvik
3 : 1
Vestri
03 Aug
Vestri
0 : 3
Grotta
30 Jul
Vestri
1 : 1
RFS
23 Jul
RFS
4 : 1
Vestri
20 Jul
Kopavogur
6 : 2
Vestri
Page 1 of 6

Afturelding

(Away)
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1
Grindavik
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
21 Jul
Fylkir
1 : 2
Afturelding
16 Jul
Afturelding
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
11 Jul
Volsungur
1 : 6
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 16 11 1 4 48:26 34
2 Throttur 17 10 4 3 37:17 34
3 Fylkir 17 11 0 6 35:26 33
4 Njardvik 17 9 2 6 27:22 29
5 Kopavogur 17 9 1 7 40:32 28
6 Grotta 16 8 2 6 33:29 26
7 Leiknir Reykjavik 17 6 4 7 23:25 22
8 Vestri 17 6 3 8 27:37 21
9 IR Reykjavik 17 5 4 8 30:38 19
10 Grindavik 17 3 8 6 17:24 17
11 Volsungur 17 3 5 9 23:39 14
12 Aegir 17 2 2 13 21:46 8
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)