Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vestri vs Grotta

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass, Ísafjörður
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Thordarson K.
Assist: Andresson B.
16'
Hafthorsson T. G.
25' Event
McLagan C.
Assist: Jakobsson G.

AI Match Summary

Grotta in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grotta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Vestri
15%
Draws
12%
Grotta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vestri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grotta lately — more wins on the board than Vestri.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Vestri taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grotta have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%
Grotta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestri Grotta
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Grotta
0:3
May 23, 2026 Division 1
Grotta vs Vestri
5:3
May 14, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Vestri vs Grotta
0:4
Mar 25, 2024 League Cup
Grotta vs Vestri
3:0
Jul 29, 2023 Division 1
Vestri vs Grotta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vestri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Grotta Compare

Top Goalscorer Thordarson K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McLagan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestri 74 / 100
Grotta 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestri Grotta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vestri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Vestri scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Grotta conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Grotta registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vestri VS Grotta
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestri

(Home)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
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Grotta

(Away)
05 Sept
Grotta
0 : 2
Volsungur
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Grotta
1 : 3
IR Reykjavik
17 Aug
Grindavik
0 : 0
Grotta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)