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Vestri vs Ulfarnir

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2019
Sun, Apr 28, 2019
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gudbrandsson R. M.
19' Event
Freitas I.
75'
Muhammad B.

AI Match Summary

Vestri in this Icelandic Cup 2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vestri
15%
Draws
51%
Ulfarnir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulfarnir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Vestri have won more games recently than Ulfarnir.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Vestri have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vestri, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vestri Clean Sheet 20%
Ulfarnir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestri Ulfarnir
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 0
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.23 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 Icelandic Cup
Vestri vs Ulfarnir
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjarnason P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ulfarnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudbrandsson R. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestri 31 / 100
Ulfarnir 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestri Ulfarnir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vestri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vestri scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Ulfarnir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vestri remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vestri VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestri

(Home)
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
08 Aug
Njardvik
3 : 1
Vestri
Page 1 of 6

Ulfarnir

(Away)
26 Mar
Grotta
2 : 1
Ulfarnir
10 Mar
Ulfarnir
4 : 2
Hamar
17 Apr
Olafsvik
7 : 1
Ulfarnir
05 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 2
Ulfarnir
28 Mar
Ulfarnir
3 : 0
Stokkseyri
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Stjarnan 0
IR Reykjavik 5
SR Reykjavik 0
Skallagrimur 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
KA Asvellir 2
Kria 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Berserkir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Augnablik 8
Arborg 1
Bjorninn 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Vestri 1
Vidir 0
Hamar 1
Kari 5
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 1
Ulfarnir 6
Afturelding 6
Lettir 0
Throttur Vogar 0
Selfoss 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 4
Nokkvi 2
TBD -
Magni -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Einherji 1
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Throttur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 1
Reynir 2
KB Breidholt 2
Snaefell 1
Fenrir 0
Aegir 2
Grotta 8
Alftanes 2
KH Hlidarendi 0
KFR 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Samherjar 0
Dalvik/Reynir 6
Midas 1
Isbjorninn 0
Alafoss 1
Ellidi 8
Tindastoll 5
Aeskan 0
TBD -
Volsungur -
Keflavik -
TBD -
KFS 2
Haukar 5
Vaengirs 9
Kongarnir 0
KM Reykjavik 0
Kordrengir 7
Fram 2
GG Grindavik 1
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Ymir 6
Hviti 5
Kormakur/Hvot 1
TBD -
Njardvik -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
IR Reykjavik 3
KV Reykjavik 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Fjolnir 4
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 5
KA Asvellir 4
Berserkir 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Augnablik 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Vestri 3
Kari 1
Olafsvik 2
Ulfarnir 6
Afturelding 3
Selfoss 2
TBD -
Grindavik -
Breidablik -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 4
Fjardabyggd 2
Hottur / Huginn 0
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Throttur 2
Reynir 0
KB Breidholt 1
Aegir 2
Grotta 10
KFR 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 2
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Midas 2
Ellidi 1
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 3
Keflavik 1
Haukar 0
Vaengirs 0
Kordrengir 1
Fram 6
Ymir 0
Hviti 0
Njardvik 6
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Stjarnan 0
IR Reykjavik 1
Fjolnir 3
KA Akureyri 5
Sindri 0
KA Asvellir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 2
Valur 1
Augnablik 0
Akranes 3
Vestri 2
Ulfarnir 1
Afturelding 1
Grindavik 4
Breidablik 10
Magni 1
Fjardabyggd 1
Kopavogur 5
Throttur 4
Aegir 0
Grotta 1
Fylkir 2
KR Reykjavik 5
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Midas 0
Volsungur 4
Keflavik 1
Kordrengir 0
Fram 1
Njardvik 3
1/8-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 2
Akranes 1
Vestri 1
Grindavik 3
Breidablik 3
Kopavogur 1
Throttur 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 2
Volsungur 0
Keflavik 0
Njardvik 1
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 7
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 4
Fylkir 2
KR Reykjavik 3
Njardvik 0
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Breidablik 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 0