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Vevey vs Biel

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gueddar M.
34' Event
Camara M.
64' Event
Eleouet A.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Vevey and Biel finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Biel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Vevey
20%
Draws
73%
Biel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Biel come out ahead of Vevey on wins alone.
  • Biel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Biel here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vevey Clean Sheet 10%
Biel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vevey Biel
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 1 17
Draws 4 10
Losses 24 4
Goals Scored 1 2.26
Goals Conceded 3.45 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Promotion League
Biel vs Vevey
4:1
Aug 27, 2025 Promotion League
Vevey vs Biel
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 Promotion League
Biel vs Vevey
5:1
Aug 10, 2024 Promotion League
Vevey vs Biel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vevey Compare

Top Goalscorer Eleouet A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueddar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vevey 10 / 100
Biel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vevey Biel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Vevey found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Biel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Vevey stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vevey VS Biel
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vevey

(Home)
19 Sept
Vevey
1 : 1
Lausanne II
11 Sept
Portalban
4 : 1
Vevey
05 Sept
Vevey
1 : 2
Sion II
29 Aug
Lancy
2 : 1
Vevey
22 Aug
Vevey
2 : 3
Prishtina Bern
Page 1 of 6

Biel

(Away)
19 Sept
Breitenrain
0 : 4
Biel
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4
Young Boys II
30 Aug
Bulle
1 : 1
Biel
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)