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VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach vs Ingolstadt II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach play Ingolstadt II in the Oberliga Bayern Süd 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Ingolstadt II averaged 2 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach won 1, Ingolstadt II won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 28, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach and 1.00 for Ingolstadt II. This points to a Ingolstadt II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach
40%
Draws
30%
Ingolstadt II
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Ingolstadt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach picked up more points recently compared to Ingolstadt II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%
VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach Clean Sheet 23%
Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach Ingolstadt II
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 2 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.3 2
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 5.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach vs Ingolstadt II
1:1
Sep 23, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ingolstadt II vs VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach
4:1
Apr 29, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ingolstadt II vs VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach
1:2
Oct 1, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Süd
VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach vs Ingolstadt II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach Compare

Top Goalscorer David M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.85
Avg xA / game 2.5

Ingolstadt II Compare

Top Goalscorer Madougou I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach 32 / 100
Ingolstadt II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach Ingolstadt II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ingolstadt II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach attacking → ← attacking Ingolstadt II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Ingolstadt II let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ingolstadt II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 48
5.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Schalding34227573:3673
2Memmingen34189751:3663
3Landsberg341861070:4560
4Ingolstadt II34179864:3960
5Kottern-St. Mang341931257:4460
6Kirchanschoring341610856:4558
7TSV Schwaben Augsburg341591063:5254
8Munich 1860 II341314756:4053
9Gundelfingen341551450:4750
10Ismaning341481247:5250
11Nordlingen341371466:6446
12Deisenhofen3411111256:4744
13SV Erlbach3410121242:3642
14Dachau341171645:6140
15Garching34971835:5634
16Turkspor Augsburg34652338:7923
17TSV 1860 Rosenheim34562337:8321
18VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach34292335:7915