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VfB Marburg vs Erlensee

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
VfB Marburg Logo

VfB Marburg

0 - 0
FT
Erlensee Logo

Erlensee

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
VfB Marburg
20%
Draws
17%
Erlensee
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfB Marburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • VfB Marburg have won more games recently than Erlensee.
  • Win probability leans VfB Marburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 16%
Erlensee Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Marburg Erlensee
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.37 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Erlensee
0:0
Sep 30, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs VfB Marburg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Marburg 84 / 100
Erlensee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Marburg Erlensee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Marburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erlensee's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: VfB Marburg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

VfB Marburg's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Erlensee has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VfB Marburg VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Marburg

(Home)
15 Aug
VfB Marburg
1 : 1
Kassel 2
12 Aug
VfB Marburg
2 : 2
Stadtallendorf
07 Aug
Hunfelder
0 : 1
VfB Marburg
01 Aug
VfB Marburg
2 : 1
Alzenau
30 May
VfB Marburg
5 : 0
Weidenhausen
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Erlensee

(Away)
25 Jan
Erlensee
0 : 4
Aschaffenburg
16 Jul
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Erlensee
03 Jul
Erlensee
4 : 0
Hanau
27 Jun
Erlensee
1 : 5
Hanauer SC
01 Jun
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Erlensee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giessen 34 22 7 5 69:28 73
2 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 23 5 6 93:42 71
3 Baunatal 34 20 7 7 70:43 67
4 Alzenau 34 19 6 9 72:40 63
5 Hanauer SC 34 19 3 12 70:55 57
6 Eddersheim 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 Hunfelder 34 16 6 12 67:62 54
8 Fernwald 34 15 5 14 64:55 50
9 Weidenhausen 34 14 8 12 62:56 50
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 7 14 62:63 46
11 Waldgirmes 34 11 7 16 48:76 40
12 Stadtallendorf 34 10 9 15 53:54 39
13 Hanau 34 9 7 18 56:78 34
14 VfB Marburg 34 9 7 18 46:71 34
15 SV Steinbach 34 7 12 15 46:69 33
16 Viktoria Griesheim 34 8 9 17 39:71 33
17 Erlensee 34 7 6 21 42:71 27
18 TUS Dietkirchen 34 6 6 22 49:85 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)