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Stadium Background

VfB Marburg vs Fernwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen game between VfB Marburg and Fernwald finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fernwald.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
VfB Marburg
30%
Draws
47%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • VfB Marburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on VfB Marburg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 14%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Marburg Fernwald
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Fernwald
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Fernwald
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs VfB Marburg
5:0
Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs VfB Marburg
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Fernwald
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Marburg 41 / 100
Fernwald 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Marburg Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Marburg scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Fernwald's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: VfB Marburg stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Marburg VS Fernwald
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Marburg

(Home)
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
Page 1 of 6

Fernwald

(Away)
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unter-Flockenbach 11 8 1 2 34:20 25
2 Stadtallendorf 11 7 2 2 33:10 23
3 Eddersheim 11 6 4 1 26:18 22
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 11 6 3 2 24:17 21
5 Hadamar 11 6 2 3 20:18 20
6 Hunfelder 11 6 1 4 21:16 19
7 VfB Marburg 11 5 2 4 15:14 17
8 Pohlheim 11 5 2 4 18:19 17
9 Darmstadt U21 11 4 3 4 24:17 15
10 Fernwald 11 3 6 2 18:16 15
11 CSC 03 Kassel 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 RW Walldorf 11 4 1 6 17:24 13
13 Baunatal 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
14 Alzenau 11 2 4 5 11:18 10
15 Hummetroth 11 2 3 6 16:24 9
16 Kassel 2 11 2 2 7 12:18 8
17 Hanauer SC 11 1 4 6 18:29 7
18 Giessen 11 1 3 7 14:29 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)