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VfB Marburg vs Hummetroth

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 game between VfB Marburg and Hummetroth finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hummetroth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
VfB Marburg
20%
Draws
58%
Hummetroth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hummetroth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • VfB Marburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Hummetroth taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Hummetroth have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 17%
Hummetroth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Marburg Hummetroth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Hummetroth
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Hummetroth
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Hummetroth vs VfB Marburg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Marburg 20 / 100
Hummetroth 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Marburg Hummetroth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hummetroth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hummetroth has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

VfB Marburg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

VfB Marburg has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

VfB Marburg VS Hummetroth
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Marburg

(Home)
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
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Hummetroth

(Away)
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
12 Sept
Hummetroth
6 : 1
Hanauer SC
09 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
3 : 0
Hummetroth
06 Sept
Kassel 2
0 : 0
Hummetroth
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 34 29 3 2 100:34 90
2 Eddersheim 34 19 7 8 75:50 64
3 Stadtallendorf 34 16 11 7 57:40 59
4 Giessen 34 18 4 12 74:57 57
5 Baunatal 34 16 8 10 65:51 55
6 Pohlheim 34 15 9 10 74:62 54
7 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 14 7 13 57:59 49
8 Hunfelder 34 15 3 16 68:64 48
9 Hanauer SC 34 14 5 15 49:66 47
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 8 13 90:76 47
11 Darmstadt U21 34 13 6 15 75:69 45
12 VfB Marburg 34 13 6 15 47:58 45
13 Fernwald 34 11 9 14 59:54 42
14 Hummetroth 34 13 5 16 64:64 41
15 CSC 03 Kassel 34 10 9 15 63:82 39
16 Waldgirmes 34 9 6 19 47:69 33
17 Weidenhausen 34 5 7 22 44:92 22
18 Hanau 34 3 7 24 32:93 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Relegation)