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VfB Marburg vs Weidenhausen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfB Marburg play Weidenhausen in the Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, VfB Marburg averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Weidenhausen averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. In past meetings, VfB Marburg won 2, Weidenhausen won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for VfB Marburg and 2.06 for Weidenhausen. This points to a VfB Marburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
VfB Marburg
24%
Draws
22%
Weidenhausen
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: VfB Marburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • VfB Marburg picked up more points recently compared to Weidenhausen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 10%
Weidenhausen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Marburg Weidenhausen
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.5 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Weidenhausen
5:0
Nov 8, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Weidenhausen vs VfB Marburg
3:3
May 24, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Weidenhausen vs VfB Marburg
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Weidenhausen
2:0
May 11, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Weidenhausen vs VfB Marburg
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Marburg 51 / 100
Weidenhausen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Marburg Weidenhausen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Marburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick VfB Marburg & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VfB Marburg attacking → ← attacking Weidenhausen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Marburg scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Weidenhausen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

VfB Marburg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Weidenhausen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 20
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eintracht Frankfurt II342932100:3490
2Eddersheim34197875:5064
3Stadtallendorf341611757:4059
4Giessen341841274:5757
5Baunatal341681065:5155
6Pohlheim341591074:6254
7Turk Gucu Friedberg341471357:5949
8Hunfelder341531668:6448
9Hanauer SC341451549:6647
10RW Walldorf341381390:7647
11Darmstadt U21341361575:6945
12VfB Marburg341361547:5845
13Fernwald341191459:5442
14Hummetroth341351664:6441
15CSC 03 Kassel341091563:8239
16Waldgirmes34961947:6933
17Weidenhausen34572244:9222
18Hanau34372432:9315