Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VfB Oldenburg vs Emden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North Marschweg-Stadion, Oldenburg
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfB Oldenburg host Emden in the Regionalliga North. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. VfB Oldenburg have averaged 2.69 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Emden's 2.48 scored and 2.28 conceded. Past meetings favor Emden slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 3.00 vs 2.13, favoring VfB Oldenburg. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
VfB Oldenburg
15%
Draws
51%
Emden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Emden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • VfB Oldenburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives VfB Oldenburg a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
VfB Oldenburg Clean Sheet 10%
Emden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Oldenburg Emden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.69 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Regionalliga North
Emden vs VfB Oldenburg
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs Emden
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
VfB Oldenburg vs Emden
1:2
Nov 29, 2024 Regionalliga North
Emden vs VfB Oldenburg
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs Emden
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Oldenburg 34 / 100
Emden 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Oldenburg Emden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Oldenburg scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Emden let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: VfB Oldenburg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Oldenburg VS Emden
3 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Oldenburg

(Home)
03 Oct
Weiche Flensburg 08
3 : 2
VfB Oldenburg
19 Sept
VfB Oldenburg
1 : 3
Jeddeloh
16 Sept
Bremer
0 : 4
VfB Oldenburg
11 Sept
VfB Oldenburg
4 : 3
Hannover II
06 Sept
Schoningen
1 : 0
VfB Oldenburg
Page 1 of 6

Emden

(Away)
03 Oct
Emden
1 : 2
Todesfelde
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Emden
5 : 0
Schoningen
15 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
8 : 2
Emden
12 Sept
Emden
4 : 1
Jeddeloh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weiche Flensburg 08 12 9 1 2 36:14 28
2 Drochtersen / Assel 12 8 1 3 40:18 25
3 Hannover II 12 7 3 2 26:16 24
4 Schoningen 12 7 3 2 19:17 24
5 Phonix Lubeck 11 7 2 2 30:9 23
6 VfB Oldenburg 11 7 1 3 33:17 22
7 Emden 12 5 3 4 32:32 18
8 Delmenhorst 11 4 3 4 17:20 15
9 Eimsbutteler 12 4 2 6 21:33 14
10 Eintracht Norderstedt 11 3 4 4 23:27 13
11 Hannoverscher SC 12 3 4 5 17:26 13
12 Lubeck 12 2 6 4 14:21 12
13 Werder Bremen II 11 3 2 6 16:20 11
14 Todesfelde 12 3 2 7 21:38 11
15 St. Pauli II 11 3 1 7 20:21 10
16 Hamburger II 11 3 1 7 15:25 10
17 Jeddeloh 12 3 1 8 18:32 10
18 Bremer 11 2 2 7 9:21 8
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)