Sport Picks
VfB Stuttgart II vs Ulm
Germany
3. Liga 2025/2026 WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach 
Match Events
45'
45'
Chessa D.
48'
48'
Sessa N.
Assist: Nankishi A.
62'
62'
Olivier C.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between VfB Stuttgart II and Ulm finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfB Stuttgart II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and VfB Stuttgart II come out ahead of Ulm on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on VfB Stuttgart II taking it.
- Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
VfB Stuttgart II Clean Sheet 15%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart II | Ulm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Ulm vs VfB Stuttgart II
0:4
Apr 8, 2026 3. Liga
VfB Stuttgart II vs Ulm
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 3. Liga
Ulm vs VfB Stuttgart II
1:3
Jul 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Ulm vs VfB Stuttgart II
2:2
May 14, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs VfB Stuttgart II
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfB Stuttgart II Compare
Top Goalscorer Sessa N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Ulm Compare
Top Goalscorer Roser L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Stuttgart II 39 / 100
Ulm 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Stuttgart II Ulm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VfB Stuttgart II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VfB Stuttgart II scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Ulm let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Ulm's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
VfB Stuttgart II VS Ulm
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Stuttgart II
(Home) 19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 3 Regensburg
16 Sept
Hansa Rostock
3 : 2 VfB Stuttgart II
13 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
1 : 2 Preussen Munster
06 Sept
Wurzburger Kickers
1 : 2 VfB Stuttgart II
28 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart II
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 3 Regensburg
13 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
1 : 2 Preussen Munster
16 Aug
VfB Stuttgart II
1 : 3 FC Viktoria Koln
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart II
0 : 1 Astoria Walldorf
16 May
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 4 VfL Osnabruck
Page 1 of 3
Ulm
(Away) 26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1 Eintracht Trier
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2 Ulm
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2 FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0 Ulm
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4 Freiberg
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2 Ulm
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0 Ulm
29 Aug
Astoria Walldorf
0 : 0 Ulm
07 Aug
Stutt. Kickers
4 : 2 Ulm
01 Aug
Regensburg
1 : 0 Ulm
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 80 |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 72 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 70 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 68 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 67 |
| 6 | Verl | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 64 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 64 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Viktoria Koln | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 49 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | 49 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart II | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | 46 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | 44 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | 43 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | 35 |
| 18 | Aue | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | 34 |
| 19 | Ulm | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | 33 |
| 20 | 1. FC Schweinfurt | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | 21 |
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
