Sport Picks
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga MHPArena, Stuttgart 
Match Events
39'
39'
El Khannouss B.
Assist: Vagnoman J.
41'
41'
Simpson-Pusey J.
46'
46'
Sub
Okon-Engstler P. In: Skhiri E.
Out: Okon-Engstler P.
AI Match Summary
VfB Stuttgart in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VfB Stuttgart.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfB Stuttgart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- 1. FC Koln haven't matched VfB Stuttgart's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on VfB Stuttgart taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors VfB Stuttgart here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 17%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | 1. FC Koln |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.59 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln
4:1
Feb 14, 2026 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer El Khannouss B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Promel G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
1. FC Koln Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Stuttgart 84 / 100
1. FC Koln 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Stuttgart 1. FC Koln
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VfB Stuttgart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VfB Stuttgart's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
1. FC Koln let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: VfB Stuttgart stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
VfB Stuttgart VS 1. FC Koln
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Stuttgart
(Home) 10 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0 Greuther Furth
25 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0 Heidenheim
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0 Greuther Furth
25 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0 Heidenheim
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
Page 1 of 3
1. FC Koln
(Away) 03 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 2 1. FC Koln
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1 1. FC Koln
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 2 1. FC Koln
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1 1. FC Koln
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
24 Aug
Wurzburger Kickers
1 : 2 1. FC Koln
23 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
0 : 8 1. FC Koln
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 5 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
