Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VfB Stuttgart vs Luzern

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nartey N.
22' Event
Diehl J.
62'
Sub
Nubel A. In: Bredlow F.
Out: Nubel A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between VfB Stuttgart and Luzern finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfB Stuttgart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
VfB Stuttgart
20%
Draws
19%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfB Stuttgart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Luzern haven't matched VfB Stuttgart's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on VfB Stuttgart taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 13%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Stuttgart Luzern
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2026 Club Friendly
VfB Stuttgart vs Luzern
3:2
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Luzern vs VfB Stuttgart
0:0
Dec 16, 2022 Club Friendly
VfB Stuttgart vs Luzern
0:3
Jan 25, 2017 Club Friendly
VfB Stuttgart vs Luzern
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfB Stuttgart Compare

Top Goalscorer Nartey N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diehl J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Villiger L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Stuttgart 84 / 100
Luzern 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Stuttgart Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Stuttgart found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Luzern's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Solid form: VfB Stuttgart remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

VfB Stuttgart VS Luzern
3.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Stuttgart

(Home)
08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1
Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2
Paris FC
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8
VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5
VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6

Luzern

(Away)
09 Aug
St. Gallen
2 : 2
Luzern
02 Aug
Sion
3 : 0
Luzern
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
Page 1 of 6