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VfL Germania Leer vs SV Bavenstedt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 game between VfL Germania Leer and SV Bavenstedt finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
VfL Germania Leer
20%
Draws
40%
SV Bavenstedt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • VfL Germania Leer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans VfL Germania Leer's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
VfL Germania Leer Clean Sheet 10%
SV Bavenstedt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Germania Leer SV Bavenstedt
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2009 Oberliga Niedersachsen
VfL Germania Leer vs SV Bavenstedt
2:2
Sep 27, 2008 Oberliga Niedersachsen
SV Bavenstedt vs VfL Germania Leer
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Germania Leer 65 / 100
SV Bavenstedt 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Germania Leer SV Bavenstedt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfL Germania Leer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Germania Leer scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

SV Bavenstedt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: SV Bavenstedt registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfL Germania Leer VS SV Bavenstedt
0 Goals Scored 0.88
4 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VfL Germania Leer

(Home)
04 Jul
VfL Germania Leer
0 : 4
FC Emmen
23 May
Hildesheim
2 : 4
VfL Germania Leer
20 May
VfL Germania Leer
2 : 2
SV Bavenstedt
17 May
VfL Germania Leer
1 : 2
TUS Pewsum
08 May
Eintracht Nordhorn
5 : 2
VfL Germania Leer
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SV Bavenstedt

(Away)
29 May
Eintracht Nordhorn
2 : 2
SV Bavenstedt
24 May
SV Bavenstedt
0 : 5
BSV Rehden
22 May
SV Bavenstedt
0 : 1
VfB Oldenburg
16 May
SV Bavenstedt
1 : 2
Langenhagen
13 May
SV Bavenstedt
2 : 1
Eintracht Nordhorn
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goslarer 34 27 2 5 91:35 83
2 Osterholz-Scharmbeck 34 22 4 8 84:39 70
3 Braunschweig II 34 20 9 5 78:37 69
4 Luneburger Hansa 34 20 5 9 83:48 65
5 Heeslingen 34 19 7 8 91:57 64
6 Ottersberg 34 17 8 9 71:50 59
7 Drochtersen / Assel 34 17 6 11 61:49 57
8 Gifhorn 34 16 7 11 69:52 55
9 Eintracht Northeim 34 14 8 12 59:59 50
10 BSV Olper 2000 34 11 11 12 51:52 44
11 FT Braunschweig 34 11 10 13 51:56 43
12 TUS Guldenstern Stade 34 11 6 17 42:50 39
13 Blau-Weiss Bornreihe 34 10 6 18 54:82 36
14 Celle 34 10 4 20 68:89 34
15 SC Weende Gottingen 34 8 3 23 49:95 27
16 Rotenburger 34 8 3 23 43:102 27
17 Vorsfelde 34 6 5 23 37:80 23
18 VfL Maschen 34 5 4 25 38:88 19
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfB Oldenburg 34 24 6 4 90:28 78
2 Eintracht Nordhorn 34 24 2 8 94:53 74
3 TSV Havelse 34 19 9 6 69:41 66
4 Meppen 34 19 8 7 95:51 65
5 SV Bavenstedt 34 18 7 9 73:49 61
6 VfL Oldenburg 34 17 6 11 71:48 57
7 VfL Germania Leer 34 16 7 11 75:62 55
8 Bad Rothenfelde 34 14 6 14 68:72 48
9 VfL Osnabruck II 34 13 7 14 53:57 46
10 SPVGG Preussen Hameln 07 34 13 5 16 59:65 44
11 Langenhagen 34 11 8 15 59:67 41
12 BSV Rehden 34 11 5 18 69:67 38
13 Hildesheim 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Arminia Hannover 34 10 5 19 57:81 35
15 Heesseler 34 10 3 21 65:117 33
16 TUS Pewsum 34 9 3 22 42:81 30
17 Lingen 34 9 3 22 36:88 30
18 Wilhelmshaven 2 34 7 7 20 36:75 28
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 (Play Offs)