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VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs Grimma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 5, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal host Grimma in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal at 1.4 goals for, 2.33 against; Grimma at 1.81 for, 2.05 against. Past meetings favor Grimma slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Grimma. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
20%
Draws
42%
Grimma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grimma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Grimma have won more games recently than VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal Clean Sheet 20%
Grimma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal Grimma
Matches Played 15 37
Wins 2 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.4 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2020 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs Grimma
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal 42 / 100
Grimma 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal Grimma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Grimma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grimma
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

(Home)
14 Dec
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
4 : 0
Krieschow
06 Dec
Eilenburg
2 : 2
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
01 Dec
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
2 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
23 Nov
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
1 : 1
Jena II
09 Nov
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
2 : 3
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
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Grimma

(Away)
30 May
Grimma
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
17 May
Plauen
0 : 1
Grimma
09 May
Grimma
2 : 4
Krieschow
03 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 0
Grimma
26 Apr
Grimma
2 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
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